Monday, April 30, 2012

Market Data & Graph's: Week Ending April 27, 2012


Market Index 12/30/   2011 4/27/     2012 Week Change Simple YTD %
Dow Industrials Avg 12,217.56 13,228.31 1.53% 8.27%
S&P 500 1,257.60 1,403.36 1.80% 11.59%
Fed Funds Rate 0.04% 0.14% 0.01% 250.00%
10 yr T-note Yld 1.88% 1.93% -0.03% 2.66%
5 yr T-note Yld 0.83% 0.83% -0.01% 0.00%
5 yr TIPS - 'Real' Yld -0.89% -1.26% -0.12% -41.57%
Implied 5 yr Inflation % 1.72% 2.09% 0.11% 21.51%
2 yr T-note Yld 0.24% 0.26% 0.00% 8.33%
2-10 Yr Slope 1.64% 1.67% -0.03% 1.83%
90 day T-bill Yld 0.01% 0.09% 0.02% 800.00%
Gold ($/oz) $1,566.80 $1,664.80 $22.00 6.25%
WTI Oil ($/brl) $98.83 $104.93 $1.05 6.17%
VIX "Worry Index" 23.4 16.32 -1.12 -30.26%





Credit Spreads 12/30/   2011 4/27/     2012 Week Change Simple YTD %
Inv Grade Credit Idx 4.63% 3.86% -0.03% -16.63%
Mid Grade Credit Idx 8.86% 7.23% -0.14% -18.40%
Markit CDX Inv Grd Idx 120 96 -4.00% -20.00%
Markit CDX Mid Grd Idx 247 192 -5.42% -22.27%
Mid Grade to 10 yr T-Note Spread 698 530 -2.03% -24.07%





Friday, April 27, 2012

Robert Wenzel's speech at the NY Fed, April 2012


From the Economic Policy Journal;

   Thank you very much for inviting me to speak here at the New York Federal Reserve Bank.
Intellectual discourse is, of course, extraordinarily valuable in reaching truth. In this sense, I welcome the opportunity to discuss my views on the economy and monetary policy and how they may differ with those of you here at the Fed.

That said, I suspect my views are so different from those of you here today that my comments will be a complete failure in convincing you to do what I believe should be done, which is to close down the entire Federal Reserve System

My views, I suspect, differ from beginning to end. From the proper methodology to be used in the science of economics, to the manner in which the macro-economy functions, to the role of the Federal Reserve, and to the accomplishments of the Federal Reserve, I stand here confused as to how you see the world so differently than I do.

I simply do not understand most of the thinking that goes on here at the Fed and I do not understand how this thinking can go on when in my view it smacks up against reality.

Monday, April 23, 2012

Market Data: Week Ending April 20, 2012


Market Index 12/30/   2011 4/20/     2012 Week Change Simple YTD %
Dow Industrials Avg 12,217.56 13,029.26 1.40% 6.64%
S&P 500 1,257.60 1,378.53 0.60% 9.62%
Fed Funds Rate 0.04% 0.13% -0.04% 225.00%
10 yr T-note Yld 1.88% 1.96% -0.02% 4.26%
5 yr T-note Yld 0.83% 0.84% -0.01% 1.20%
5 yr TIPS - 'Real' Yld -0.89% -1.14% 0.19% -28.09%
Implied 5 yr Inflation % 1.72% 1.98% -0.20% 15.12%
2 yr T-note Yld 0.24% 0.26% -0.01% 8.33%
2-10 Yr Slope 1.64% 1.70% -0.01% 3.66%
90 day T-bill Yld 0.01% 0.07% -0.01% 600.00%
Gold ($/oz) $1,566.80 $1,642.80 -$17.40 4.85%
WTI Oil ($/brl) $98.83 $103.88 $1.05 5.11%
VIX "Worry Index" 23.4 17.44 -2.11 -25.47%





Credit Spreads 12/30/   2011 4/20/     2012 Week Change Simple YTD %
Inv Grade Credit Idx 4.63% 3.89% -0.01% -15.98%
Low Grade Credit Idx 8.86% 7.37% 0.00% -16.82%
Markit CDX Inv Grd Idx 120 100 3.09% -16.67%
Markit CDX Mid Grd Idx 247 203 1.50% -17.81%
Low Grade to 10 yr T-Note Spread 698 541 0.37% -22.49%

Monday, April 16, 2012

Market Data: Week Ending April 6, 2012


Market Index 12/30/   2011 4/13/     2012 Week Change Simple YTD %
Dow Industrials Avg 12,217.56 12,849.60 -1.61% 5.17%
S&P 500 1,257.60 1,370.26 -1.99% 8.96%
Fed Funds Rate 0.04% 0.17% 0.06% 325.00%
10 yr T-note Yld 1.88% 1.98% -0.08% 5.32%
5 yr T-note Yld 0.83% 0.85% -0.06% 2.41%
5 yr TIPS - 'Real' Yld -0.89% -1.33% -0.06% -49.44%
Implied 5 yr Inflation % 1.72% 2.18% 0.00% 26.74%
2 yr T-note Yld 0.24% 0.27% -0.05% 12.50%
2-10 Yr Slope 1.64% 1.71% -0.03% 4.27%
90 day T-bill Yld 0.01% 0.08% 0.01% 700.00%
Gold ($/oz) $1,566.80 $1,660.20 $29.10 5.96%
WTI Oil ($/brl) $98.83 $102.83 $0.61 4.05%
VIX "Worry Index" 23.4 19.55 2.85 -16.45%





Credit Spreads 12/30/   2011 4/13/     2012 Week Change Simple YTD %
Inv Grade Credit Idx 4.63% 3.90% -0.06% -15.77%
Low Grade Credit Idx 8.86% 7.37% 0.04% -16.82%
Markit CDX Inv Grd Idx 120 97 0.00% -19.17%
Markit CDX Mid Grd Idx 247 200 4.71% -19.03%
Low Grade to 10 yr T-Note Spread 698 539 2.28% -22.78%

Monday, April 9, 2012

Market Data: Week Ending April 6, 2012


Market Index 12/30/   2011 4/6/2012 Week Change Simple YTD %
Dow Industrials Avg 12,217.56 13,060.10 -1.15% 6.90%
S&P 500 1,257.60 1,398.08 -0.74% 11.17%
Fed Funds Rate 0.04% 0.11% 0.01% 175.00%
10 yr T-note Yld 1.88% 2.06% -0.15% 9.57%
5 yr T-note Yld 0.83% 0.91% -0.13% 9.64%
5 yr TIPS - 'Real' Yld -0.89% -1.27% -0.01% -42.70%
Implied 5 yr Inflation % 1.72% 2.18% -0.12% 26.74%
2 yr T-note Yld 0.24% 0.32% -0.01% 33.33%
2-10 Yr Slope 1.64% 1.74% -0.14% 6.10%
90 day T-bill Yld 0.01% 0.07% 0.00% 600.00%
Gold ($/oz) $1,566.80 $1,631.10 -$40.80 4.10%
WTI Oil ($/brl) $98.83 $102.22 -$0.80 3.43%
VIX "Worry Index" 23.4 16.7 1.2 -28.63%





Credit Spreads 12/30/   2011 4/6/2012 Week Change Simple YTD %
Inv Grade Credit Idx 4.63% 3.96% 0.07% -14.47%
Low Grade Credit Idx 8.86% 7.33% 0.19% -17.27%
Markit CDX Inv Grd Idx 120 97 4.30% -19.17%
Markit CDX Mid Grd Idx 247 191 4.37% -22.67%
Low Grade to 10 yr T-Note Spread 698 527 6.90% -24.50%