Showing posts with label cognitive dissonance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cognitive dissonance. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Please, Just Lie to Me! A Lesson on Financial Cognitive Dissonance

First contributed by: Anonymous, aka: Curious George on 12/1/2009

What is cognitive dissonance?
Anxiety that results from simultaneously holding contradictory or otherwise incompatible attitudes, beliefs, or the like, as when one likes a person but disapproves strongly of one of his or her habits. (Dictionary.com)

It’s not so much the definition of cognitive dissonance but rather how we respond to it that is important. If investment decisions are built on untruths, results will suffer. Every day we are presented with conflicting information and we are conflicted in what to believe. If one wants good investment results then good information really does matter. So, where is the truth?

Social psychologist Leon Festinger says “Dissonance and consonance are relations among cognitions that is, among opinions, beliefs, knowledge of the environment, and knowledge of one's own actions and feelings. Two opinions, or beliefs, or items of knowledge are dissonant with each other if they do not fit together; that is, if they are inconsistent, or if, considering only the particular two items, one does not follow from the other” (Leon Festinger 1956: 25).

His three ways of dealing with cognitive dissonance
1. One may try to change one or more of the beliefs, opinions, or behaviors involved in the dissonance;

Sunday, January 10, 2010

Cognitive Dissonance Strikes Again!

Curious George offers this rare guest post. (Thanks! I hope there will be more.)

We all want to believe the data we receive is good, sound information from a thoughtful and honest process. Good data is so important to making good decisions. Consider the recent reporting of December 2009 retail sales.

The Sydney Morning Herald reports December US retail sales up 2.9%. Reuters estimates US retail sales for December up 1.3-2.0%.  Yahoo reports a 2.8% increase. All my searches for retail sales reported increases for December 2009. So, if retail sales are up, then what about sales tax revenue. It should be up too, right? Nope, it’s down.

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Please, Just Lie to Me. A lesson on Financial Cognitive Dissonance.

Contributed by: Anonymous, aka: Curious George
What is cognitive dissonance?

Anxiety that results from simultaneously holding contradictory or otherwise incompatible attitudes, beliefs, or the like, as when one likes a person but disapproves strongly of one of his or her habits. (Dictionary.com)

It’s not so much the definition of cognitive dissonance but rather how we respond to it that is important. If investment decisions are built on untruths, results will suffer. Every day we are presented with conflicting information and we are conflicted in what to believe. If one wants good investment results then good information really does matter. So, where is the truth?

Social psychologist Leon Festinger says “Dissonance and consonance are relations among cognitions that is, among opinions, beliefs, knowledge of the environment, and knowledge of one's own actions and feelings. Two opinions, or beliefs, or items of knowledge are dissonant with each other if they do not fit together; that is, if they are inconsistent, or if, considering only the particular two items, one does not follow from the other” (Leon Festinger 1956: 25).

His three ways of dealing with cognitive dissonance

1. One may try to change one or more of the beliefs, opinions, or behaviors involved in the dissonance;

2. One may try to acquire new information or beliefs that will increase the existing consonance and thus cause the total dissonance to be reduced; or,

3. One may try to forget or reduce the importance of those cognitions that are in a dissonant relationship (Festinger 1956: 25-26).

Let’s try a real world example